As tensions continue to unfold in the South China Sea, the question many political observers are assessing is whether or not the United States is coming out on top. Certainly there has been a great deal of rhetoric emerging from the US on the subject in recent weeks and months. And this very week, the current vice president of the United States, Joe Biden, offered further confirmation of what he characterized as Chinese expansionism in this disputed territory.

随着紧张气氛在南海上展开，很多政治观察家正在评估的问题是美国是否取得了胜利。最近美国出现了很多声音。而就在本周，美国副总统拜登进一步确认了中国在有争议领土上的扩张行为。

评论翻译：

China Lee ? 2 hours ago
The Hunt for China’s Red October
“[US Vice Adm. Joseph] Mulloy cited Chinese production and testing of submarine launched weapons and said that one [Chinese] SSBN – or ballistic missile submarine capable of launching nuclear weapons – went on a very long 95-day at sea patrol.” (Source: DefenseTech)
The US Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) April 9, 2015 report “stated that China has four Type 094s in service.” According to Jane’s Defence, each Chinese JL-2 SLBM can carry eight MIRV thermonuclear warheads.
4 Type 094 SSBNs x 12 SLBMs per SSBN x 8 MIRVs per JL-2 SLBM = 384 Chinese thermonuclear warheads on submarines

《猎杀红色十月》
“（美国海军中将约瑟夫）穆洛伊援引了中国潜射武器的生产和测试，并称中国的一艘弹道导弹战略核潜艇可在海上连续巡逻95天（来源：国防科技）
美国海军情报局于2015年4月9号发表的报告称”中国已经服役了四种类型的094。”根据简氏防务报道，每枚巨浪-2潜射弹道导弹=中国潜艇上384枚的热核弹头。

Atlas02la Whiplashracer ? 3 hours ago
Taiwan is reinforcing the island they have. Don’t know what the Vietnamese are doing with their islands. Philippines? Seems like they are doing nothing.

台湾正在强化自己所占领的岛屿。不知道越南对自己所占领的岛屿在做些什么事情。菲律宾呢？貌似什么事情都没做。

NoCanDo Whiplashracer ? 3 hours ago
They are building these islands well within other nations’ 200 mile economic zone….and WELL outside their own 200 mile eco zone. It’s illegal.

中国所建设的这些岛屿完全在他国的200海里经济区内，而且也超出了中国自己的200海里经济区。所以是非法的。

gnak NoCanDo ? 2 hours ago
They were there first right after WWII.US ships even brought Chiang’s
security forces to reclaim the Archipelago after the japanese left.
It is obvious who is stealing from whom

二战后是中国人首先上了这些岛屿的。美国船只甚至借来了蒋介石的部队以收复日本离开后群岛。
所以是谁窃取谁的，就一目了然了。

Quack Doktor ? 4 hours ago
All of these were happening because of the “nothing doing Republican Congress”…..they were very much obsessed in humiliating Obama and not doing what was right for the entire country…

所有这一切都是因为无所作为的共和党人控制下的国会导致的。他们就想着怎么羞辱奥巴马，根本不为国家利益着想。

jlb74a ? 5 hours ago
oboma needs to build his own damm islands next to the commie chinese…

奥巴马想在中国人附近建立自己的岛屿。

RyouSure? ? 9 hours ago
SCS is a bowl of soup as you can see that China is not alone claiming islets there……. so what the hell are we trying to accomplish there? Commercial navigation was never and will ever be threatened by any nations which is a Pentagon lie, pure and simple…..!

南海就是一碗羹，不仅仅只有中国对南海上的岛屿宣称主权。所以我们去那里搅合的目的何在？商业航行根本不会受到任何国家的威胁，这都是五角大楼的谎言！

Atlas02la ? 9 hours ago
Here is a prediction: some sort of compromise will be made between the US and China.
US gets a guarantee of freedom of passage for commercial ships.
China will keep building their facilities and slowly dominate the whole area.
If Philippine wants to stay relevant in the area, they better start building up their islands. Hoping that US will shed blood and treasure for Philippine is a fool’s errand.

我的预言是：中美之间会达成某种妥协。
美国获得商船自由通行的保证。
而中国将继续在南海进行建设并渐渐主宰该地区。
如果菲律宾想在该地区保有一席之地，那么最好开始加强自己的岛屿建设。如果你认为美国会为菲律宾流血流汗，那简直是痴人说梦。

Shuami Atlas02la ? 3 hours ago
“US gets a guarantee of freedom of passage for commercial ships.”
The US IS guaranteed of freedom of passage, as well as ALL other countries. When has China impeded ANY country’s freedom of passage?

“美国获得商船自由通行的保证。”
美国已经获得了自由通行的保证，其他国家也一样。中国什么时候阻止任何国家经过这片海域了？

Atlas02la Shuami ? 3 hours ago
China has not impeded the freedom of navigation in SCS.
However, US is leery of the rise of China and does not want to give up its preeminence in the world.
There will be strategic competition between the 2 countries in many areas. SCS is small potatoes, and a compromise will be made. The real competition will be world economy, like who writes the future rules.

中国是没有阻止任何国家经过南海。
但是美国对中国的崛起感到猜疑，而且不想放弃自己在世界上的超群地位。
这两个国家将在众多领域展开战略性的竞争。南海问题不重要，双方会达成妥协。真正的竞争将发生在世界经济上，比如由谁来规定未来的规则。

Reality Check Atlas02la ? 2 hours ago
Not really a minor case. Obama wants to use it, extensively, by hooking up Vietnam. It will happen in just a few days, next month, when the Vietnamese leader Nguyen Phu Trong visits Washington.

南海并非小事。奥巴马想利用南海问题，广泛的利用，和越南一道。下个月越南领导人阮富仲访问美国时就奥巴马就会拿南海问题做文章。

Atlas02la Reality Check ? 2 hours ago
Vietnam is in a tough position. It wants to be a part of the Chinese Silk Road economic plan, but it also does not want to look weak for political reason.
But, “it’s the economy, stupid” reasoning always seems to win in the end.

越南的处境很尴尬。一方面想成为中国丝绸之路经济计划的一部分，但是出于政治原因又不想让自己看起来很弱。
但是，经济理性总是会取得最终的胜利。